Erin O"Toole and the End of the Conservative Party

Erin O"Toole has the charisma of my neighbour's cat.

He is also a 47 year old trapped in the body and mind of a 77 year old.  He has minimal command of the French language. 

Not that it would have mattered.  The Conservatives will be in third party status after the next election. 

In order for them to have any success, they must make significant gains in all areas of Canada.  Atlantic Canada will not move as they already think the federal government is Torontocentric and ignores them.  They may have been persuaded to vote for Peter McKay. 

Quebec won't vote for any leader who is not bilingual. 

In Ontario, the Premier, Doug Ford, has already announced he won't campaign for O"Toole.  Ontario voters have responded well to Ford's response to the pandemic so it will be hard for them to vote for a Conservative that is not supported by Ford. 

The Prairies is where the Conservatives could make gains as Western Allienation is a very real phenomenon .  However, since the new leader is from the GTA, he is not likely to have the west at "hello". 

BC is always a polarizing province so if there is any growth, it would be because the NDP and Green may split some votes in ridings and the Conservatives can come up the middle.  This potential growth won't account for much. 

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